Iran’s presidential election

Iran_Presidenciales

Iran’s presidential election: Don´t Ignore It

Good riddance to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. The election might just bring something better

IN THIS election, more than 700 aspiring candidates have been barred from competing by a council of crusty clerics and lawyers. They are said to have failed to live up to the required standard of revolutionary and religious zeal, leaving just eight runners deemed worthy of the mantle being relinquished by Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. That may not seem like much of a choice to citizens of normal democracies. But in Iran it is the best on offer.

The first round of the presidential election takes place on June 14th, with a run-off a week later if no one gets a majority. The candidates, pictured before a television debate, are a glum bunch, with Saeed Jalili the apparent favourite of the hardliners and the most moderate being another former nuclear negotiator, Hassan Rohani. There is the added twist that the final say in the gravest matters of state, including the nuclear programme, is the preserve of the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has fallen out badly with Mr Ahmadinejad in the past few years. All the same, the election is a meaningful, even menacing, event—and one whose outcome, on past experience, cannot be predicted (see article).

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China Is Reaping Biggest Benefits of Iraq Oil Boom

CHINAOIL-articleLarge
An oil refinery in Basra, southeast of Baghdad, in which China has a stake. China has poured money and workers into Iraq.
NABIL AL-JOURANI / Associated PressExxon Mobil
By TIM ARANGO and CLIFFORD KRAUSS
June 2, 2013

BAGHDAD — Since the American-led invasion of 2003, Iraq has become one of the world’s top oil producers, and China is now its biggest customer.

China already buys nearly half the oil that Iraq produces, nearly 1.5 million barrels a day, and is angling for an even bigger share, bidding for a stake now owned by Exxon Mobil in one of Iraq’s largest oil fields.

“The Chinese are the biggest beneficiary of this post-Saddam oil boom in Iraq,” said Denise Natali, a Middle East expert at the National Defense University in Washington. “They need energy, and they want to get into the market.”

Before the invasion, Iraq’s oil industry was sputtering, largely walled off from world markets by international sanctions against the government of Saddam Hussein, so his overthrow always carried the promise of renewed access to the country’s immense reserves. Chinese state-owned companies seized the opportunity, pouring more than $2 billion a year and hundreds of workers into Iraq, and just as important, showing a willingness to play by the new Iraqi government’s rules and to accept lower profits to win contracts.

“We lost out,” said Michael Makovsky, a former Defense Department official in the Bush administration who worked on Iraq oil policy. “The Chinese had nothing to do with the war, but from an economic standpoint they are benefiting from it, and our Fifth Fleet and air forces are helping to assure their supply.”

The depth of China’s commitment here is evident in details large and small.

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Hezbollah in Syria: data and assumptions

Group of Hezbollah fighters take position in Sujoud village in south Lebanon

France says 3,000-4,000 Hezbollah are fighting in Syria

Reuters, May 29, 2013 - France said on Wednesday its intelligence services believed 3-4,000 guerillas from Lebanon’s Hezbollah militia fighting alongside President Bashar al-Assad’s army in Syria’s civil war.

“As far as Hezbollah militants present in the battlefield, the figures range from 3,000 to 10,000, our estimates are between 3,000 and 4,000,” Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius told lawmakers.

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Asian Nations Are Not Popular Worldwide: BBC Poll

comic map of east asia

LF Cartoons, by Luke Farookhi, 07/04/2013

Asian Nations Are Not Popular Worldwide: BBC Poll

By Zachary Keck, The Diplomat, May 29, 2013

Asia is not very popular around the world and the popularity of many countries in the region is trending downward, according to an annual poll by the BBC.

The 2013 edition of the BBC World Service’s Country Ratings Poll ranks the popularity of 16 countries and the EU based on whether over 26,000 respondents in 25 countries viewed their influence around the world as “mostly positive” or “mostly negative.”

After ranking as the most popular country in the world in 2012, Japan fell to fourth place this year as positive views of it declined by 7 percent while negative views were up by 6 percent. Overall, however, 51 percent of respondents said they viewed Tokyo’s influence as positive whereas just 27 percent viewed it negatively. This still made it the top ranking Asian country and the only one to be included in the top half of the poll.

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La desecación del Tigris y el Eúfrates

TIGRI Cuenca del Tigris y el Eúfrates. Fuente: FAO

Ojo con este notición que ha pasado desapercibido

S. McCoy, Valor Añadido/Cotizalia, 13 de marzo, 2013

Saben ustedes que uno de los mayores focos de conflicto a nivel internacional es lo que se ha dado a conocer como Oriente Medio, que no sólo engloba a Israel, Siria, Jordania o Egipto, sino que se extiende hacia el este hasta alcanzar Iraq e Irán. Al conflicto secular árabe-israelí, se unen las sucesivas disputas en la región con el petróleo como razón de fondo y, más recientemente, las revueltas del norte de África. Zona estratégica esta para el comercio mundial y para el aprovisionamiento internacional de material primas -gracias al Canal de Suez y al estrecho de Ormuz-; cualquier novedad, por mínima que sea, que afecte a su disputado territorio puede tener enormes implicaciones, políticas, económicas y sociales, a nivel global.

De ahí que resulte especialmente relevante, a juicio de quien esto les escribe, un artículo publicado por el semanario económico The Economist en su edición de esta misma semana. Pieza sin apenas relevancia aparente que ha encontrado nulo eco editorial y bajo predicamento en sus páginas. Y que, sin embargo, puede ser el copo de nieve que desencadene una nueva avalancha en la zona, la enésima, de inciertas consecuencias para el conjunto de los países afectados y el resto del planeta.

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